New research claims human emissions are not driving atmospheric CO2.
A paper by Dai Ato ran multiple linear regressions for 1959 to 2022, testing two predictors of the annual CO2 increase: sea surface temperature and human emissions. The result was clear: when the oceans warmed, CO2 levels rose almost exactly in step – about two to three parts per million for every one degree Celsius of warming. Adding human emissions to the model didn’t change the outcome.
Using only ocean temperature, the model reproduced global CO2 levels with near-perfect accuracy – a correlation of 0.995 and an error of just one to two ppm by 2022.
The main factor governing the annual increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration is sea surface temperature rather than human emissions.
Earlier studies have shown the same pattern. Temperature changes first, CO2 follows.
If Ato is correct, cutting human emissions won’t lower atmospheric CO2 because it’s the oceans that set the pace.
https://x.com/Electroversenet/status/2077120951221882970?s=20