Category: Climate Change

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Consensus in science

In 1914, there was a consensus among geologists that the earth under our feet was permanently fixed, and that it was absurd to think it could be otherwise. But in 1915, Alfred Wegener fought an enormous battle to convince them of the relevance of plate tectonics.

In 1904, there was a consensus among physicists that Newtonian mechanics was, at last, the final word in explaining the workings of the world. All that was left to do was to mop up the details. But in 1905, Einstein and a few others soon convinced them that this view was false.

In 1544, there was a consensus among mathematicians that it was impossible to calculate the square root of negative one, and that to even consider the operation was absurd. But in 1545, Cardano proved that, if you wanted to solve polynomial equations, then complex numbers were a necessity.

In 1972, there was a consensus among psychiatrists that homosexuality was a psychological, treatable, sickness. But in 1973, the American Psychiatric Association held court and voted for a new consensus to say that it was not.

In 1979, there was a consensus among paleontologists that the dinosaurs’ demise was a long, drawn out affair, lasting millions of years. But in 1980, Alvarez, father and son, introduced evidence of a cataclysmic cometary impact 65 million years before.

In 1858, there was a consensus among biologists that the animal species that surround us were put there as God designed them. But in 1859, the book On the Origin of Species appeared.

In 1928, there was a consensus among astronomers that the heavens were static, the boundaries of the universe constant. But in 1929, Hubble observed his red shift among the stars.

In 1834, there was a consensus among physicians that human disease was spontaneously occurring, due to imbalanced humours. But in 1835, Bassi and later Pasteur, introduced doctors to the germ theory.

All these are, obviously, but a small fraction of the historical examples of consensus in science, though I have tried to pick the events that were the most jarring and radical upsets. Here are two modern cases.

In 2008, there is a consensus among climatologists that mankind has and will cause irrevocable and dangerous changes to the Earth’s temperature.

In 2008, there is a consensus among physicists that most of nature’s physical dimensions are hidden away and can only be discovered mathematically, by the mechanisms of string theory.

In addition to the historical list, there are, just as obviously, equally many examples of consensus that turned out to be true. And, to be sure, even when the consensus view was false, it was often rational to believe it.

So I use these specimens only to show two things: (1) from the existence of a consensus, it does not follow that the claims of the consensus are true. (2) The chance that the consensus view turns out to be false is much larger than you would have thought.

These are not news, but they are facts that are often forgotten.

https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/87/

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Dr Patrick Moore

Dr Patrick Moore

Greenpeace co-founder, Dr. Patrick Moore, on the catastrophic consequences of ‘Net Zero’:

“If we actually achieved Net Zero, at least 50% of the population would die of hunger and disease. [Because] at least 50% of the population depends on nitrogen fertiliser for its existence. And there’s people trying to ban it, and Netherlands and Sri Lanka have already made these kinds of moves. So it is truly a death wish in disguise, and the disguise is to save the Earth, which doesn’t need saving, particularly.”

https://wide-awake-media.com/dr-patrick-moore-net-zero-would-kill-50-of-population-due-to-hunger-and-disease/

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Support The Right Thing

Social personalities support constructive activities.

Anti-social people support destructive activities.

Carbon in the air is constructive, it helps plants grow. The more carbon, the better they grow. As the atmospheric carbon increases so the planet becomes greener and less desertified.

Plastic in the environment is destructive. Plants absorb it and pass it on to us, fish eat it and it kills them.

Be a social person. Support carbon and support the removal of plastic from the environment.

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Averaging Last Seconds Versus Bureau Peer-Review

Canberra Airport Temps

Averaging by its very nature smooths: removing peaks and troughs. Temperature data tends to be cyclical, whether on a one-minute, or thousand-year scale. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology has made a habit of smoothing when it is convenient and using extreme values otherwise. Take their one-minute temperature data from Canberra Airport: super-sensitive electronic equipment now records the highest, lowest, and last second of each minute and reports the highest second as the daily maximum temperature. Back in 2019 I purchased some of this data to test the Bureau’s claim that averaging the data would make no difference. I found that averaging the last one-second of each minute always gave me a lower maximum temperature. This is because the difference between the the highest and the last second could typically be 0.7 degrees Celsius as shown in Figure 17 – that is from a comprehensive report I co-authored in 2020. I have so far been unable to get this report published in a suitable peer-reviewed journal perhaps because it contradicts the Bureau’s much lauded Ayers and Warne (2020) analysis that comes to the opposite conclusion.

https://jennifermarohasy.com/2023/05/averaging-last-seconds-versus-bureau-peer-review/

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Ever evaluated CO2?

This is the greatest fraud in human history, but nobody has the courage to stand up and tell the following TRUTHS ….
1. 97% of all CO2 in the atmosphere is naturally occurring, nothing to do with what mankind does or does not do.
2. We are living in a period of among the LOWEST CO2 levels in the atmosphere in the history of this planet. Millions of years ago CO2 levels in the atmosphere were up around 4,000+ppm. Since then CO2 levels have steadily declined and today CO2 is only around 415 ppm. Extremely low. If it falls to around or below 210 ppm then all plant life, vegetation, trees etc will start to die. When that happens we all will perish. This is how utterly ludicrous this whole thing is.
3. The hydro-graphic survey station at Fort Dennison, which measures the mean height of the largest body of water on the planet, the Pacific Ocean, tells us of countless times the mean height of the ocean was HIGHER before WWII than in recent times. For example, in 1914 the Pacific Ocean recorded a mean height of 1.11 meters which is HIGHER than it was in 2019 at 1.05 meters. There weren’t any coal fired power stations, 747’s or SUV’s around in 1914!
4. Pacific islands are not sinking, very recent photographic comparisons to US aerial shots taken during WWII clearly show a huge number of islands have actually expanded/increased their surface area … they have GROWN!!
5. The Arctic has recorded massive ice and snow gains over the last three to four years despite global warming/climate change alarmists telling us the Arctic will be ice free by 2010.
6. In Australia massive increases in electricity costs which will be terrible for everyone, manufacturing and businesses will struggle to survive, many will probably close, base-load power shortages resulting in wide-spread black-outs, massive job losses and a society on its way to serious decline – all of which is in the name of “global warming/climate change” will NOT reduce the earth’s temperature. Nothing we do here in Australia will have the slightest impact on the earth’s temperature. When pushed on the matter by members of Parliament, even the CSIRO’s Chief Scientist admitted it for goodness sake!
7. We know from this planet’s history that in the few times where CO2 has been at elevated levels, the earth’s temperature did NOT rise. We know this as FACT through ice core samples, and ice core samples don’t lie. You can’t change the earth’s history but my bet is there’s plenty of doomer activists who wish they could.
8. Despite being told by doomer climate alarmists the Great Barrier Reef will be 50% gone by 2020 due to climate change, the reef is actually flourishing with fantastic coral growth of recent times.
9. Last year China INCREASED their emissions by roughly the same amount as Australia emits in an ENTIRE YEAR for goodness sake. This means if the whole of Australia vanished off the face of the earth and didn’t exist tomorrow and therefore did not emit a single gram of emissions, nothing would change.
ABSOLUTELY NOTHING WOULD CHANGE.
NOTHING!
10. And let’s not forget there’s not suppose to be any more rainfall and certainly not enough to fill our dams by 2015. Just another LIE.
The truth is every single solitary global warming/climate change prediction has been proved WRONG.
Not one single alarmist claim has been correct and the reason for this is because it is based on complete and utter LIES.
Wake up people and save Australia from this insanity.