Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder.

Arnold Toynbee

John Leake writes:

“…it’s clear that by any standard apart from technical prowess, American civilization is in a state of rapid decline.

Why has this decline occurred? Pondering the question took me back to the thesis of a book that I was assigned to read in one of my college history classes—that is, Arnold Toynbee’s A Study of History, in which he set forth his theory of civilizational decline.

As he famously put it, “Civilizations die from suicide, not by murder.”

As he saw it, a civilization collapses not from external conquest, but from internal rot. This “suicide” is not a sudden act but a process of self-disintegration.

Toynbee reached this conclusion through a comparative analysis of multiple civilizations, including the Hellenic (Greco-Roman), Egyptian, and Chinese.

In his view, civilizations grow strong when a “creative minority”—an elite group of leaders—meets environmental, military, or social challenges. The majority follows not by coercion but through willing imitation. Growth continues so long as the minority retains its creative vitality and inspires collective effort.

Decline begins when this creative minority degenerates into a “dominant minority.”

Proud and complacent about its past successes, the erstwhile creative minority idolizes its own power and prestige, loses moral authority, and begins to rule by force rather than from genuine care, responsibility, and desire to build and create.

Hubris, nationalism, militarism, and the pursuit of material comfort replace creative innovation. Society fractures into a “schism” between the alienated “internal proletariat” (the masses who remain geographically inside the civilization but withdraw their trust and faith in the elite, and the elite that is increasingly detached from the material reality of the people it rules.

A “time of troubles” ensues—marked by internal conflict, class warfare, and futile attempts to freeze the status quo through imperial expansion and domination of other tribes. These actions are symptoms of decline. The civilization has already committed suicide by failing to respond in a creative and productive way to the challenges it faces.

Toynbee illustrated the pattern repeatedly. In the Hellenic case, Rome’s imperial machinery could not compensate for the spiritual exhaustion and social alienation that rotted the republic. Pressure from the barbarians on the frontier merely accelerated the collapse that had occurred internally in the way a storm knocks down an old tree whose core was already dying.

It’s consoling to note that Toynbee did not regard decline as inevitable. He believed that human agency matters, and that it may be possible for a new creative minority to slow or even stop the decline. Civilizations die because they choose—through undue pride, complacency, hubris, greed, and a disconnection from reality—to stop maintaining and building.

Toynbee died in 1975. Were he alive today, he would certainly see in the West a perfect illustration of this thesis.”

20 Veggies To Grow In Shade

20 Veggies To Grow In Shade
There are some inclusions here with which other data I have does not agree. Broccoli, Brussels sprouts, Cabbage and Kale are commonly held to require more sun to produce larger yields. Probably the difference between what you can get away with to produce a result versus what is optimal.

Paul Simon

Paul Simon

Paul Simon sat down in 1969 and wrote “Bridge Over Troubled Water” in a single sitting.

When he played it for Art Garfunkel, the room went silent in the way rooms only go silent when something is clearly, undeniably extraordinary.

Then Garfunkel said something that surprised him.

“You should sing it yourself.”

It wasn’t false modesty. Garfunkel knew exactly what this song was. A centerpiece. A career-defining moment. The kind of performance that follows a singer for the rest of their life. And deep down, he wasn’t sure he wanted that weight.

Because for years, the unspoken truth of their partnership had been sitting right there on the table between them. Paul created. Art delivered. Singing Simon’s greatest song would cement that reality out in the open, permanently, for the whole world to see.

Simon listened. Then he made his decision.

“No. You’re singing it. Your voice is right for this.”

He wasn’t wrong.

When Garfunkel recorded that vocal, that quiet, almost fragile opening slowly building into something vast and aching by the final verse, it was breathtaking. The song and the voice fit together the way very few things in music ever do. Simon knew it the instant he heard the playback.

But he had just given away the greatest song he would ever write.

The album dropped in January 1970. “Bridge Over Troubled Water” shot to number one and stayed there. It swept the Grammys, winning six awards including Record of the Year and Song of the Year. It became the defining moment of their entire career, the first thing strangers thought of when the name Simon and Garfunkel crossed their minds.

And it was built on a quiet fault line neither man could ignore.

Simon had written every word. Constructed every layer of the arrangement. Made every creative decision. Garfunkel had sung it gloriously, in a way nobody else on earth could have matched. But when audiences heard that song, they heard Art’s voice soaring over everything.

Simon kept the authorship. Garfunkel got the spotlight.

Neither felt they had received what they truly deserved.

By the end of 1970, less than a year after the album’s release, Simon and Garfunkel had quietly gone their separate ways. No dramatic fight. No press conference. No single moment anyone could point to. Just two people who had built something magnificent together, finally acknowledging what they had both already known.

They reunited over the decades. Tours. Performances. A concert in Central Park that drew half a million people. Each time there was genuine warmth between them. But the same unresolved weight was always there too, that same dynamic that had never shifted, never healed, never been fully spoken aloud.

The men who gave the world “The Sound of Silence,” “Mrs. Robinson,” “The Boxer,” and “America” could not sustain the partnership that made those songs possible.

Because “Bridge Over Troubled Water” had told the truth about them before either was ready to hear it.

It was never really a collaboration. It was two separate gifts, offered across a table, to a partnership that had already quietly ended.

Simon gave Garfunkel the song because Art’s voice genuinely deserved it. That was real generosity.

Garfunkel delivered a performance that lifted the song beyond what Simon alone might have made of it. That was real greatness.

But generosity and greatness don’t automatically produce equality.

Paul Simon went on to one of the most celebrated solo careers in music history. Art Garfunkel made beautiful records of his own. Both proved they could stand alone.

But they needed each other. And they couldn’t be what the other needed.

There is a song you already know. You have turned to it in your hardest moments because it promises that someone will lay themselves down, like a bridge, so you can cross.

Paul Simon wrote that promise.

Art Garfunkel made you believe it.

And the distance between those two things turned out to be exactly as wide as everything that separated them.

Greenhouse Chicken Coop

Greenhouse Chicken Coop

When a coop shares a wall with a greenhouse, four exchanges happen without any equipment. The chickens exhale CO2 that the plants use for photosynthesis. The plants release oxygen that circulates back to the coop. The chickens radiate enough body heat to smooth temperature swings on cold nights. And the manure composts into the fertilizer the greenhouse beds need.

No electricity. No pumps. Just a shared wall with adjustable vents.

The heat contribution is modest — it won’t replace insulation in a harsh winter, but it smooths the overnight temperature swing that kills tender seedlings. The CO2 is modest too — not commercial greenhouse levels, but enough to replenish what the plants consume in a sealed winter greenhouse.

What makes it work:

– Adjustable vents in the shared wall — open during the day for gas exchange, closed at night to trap warmth

– Wire mesh barriers so chickens can’t access growing beds. They’ll scratch up seedlings and dust-bathe in your soil if given the chance

– Deep litter on the coop floor — eight to twelve inches of straw or wood shavings that absorbs moisture, reduces ammonia, and composts in place

– Enough ventilation to prevent ammonia buildup. Chicken manure in an enclosed space harms both plants and birds without airflow
Four exchanges running continuously. The animals feed the plants. The plants clean the air for the animals.

The smartest design is letting biology work together

Sugar Alcohols vs Sugar

A post from a friend of mine Dean Blehert on Facebook:

A few days ago, I received an email from some “Healthy solutions“ provider about a long and complex study done by some researchers in Brazil. The article on this study claimed that the study involved more than 15,000 subjects over many months and proved that sugar alcohols (not sugar, but sugar alcohols, often used as sweeteners because many of them do NOT have the bad effects on health that sugar itself has), taken over a period of months, lead to some terrible physical situations. The authors of the study claimed that erythritol was particularly dangerous and that probably Xylitol was similarly dangerous, and that it might be healthier to put sugar back into a healthy diet. The article gave the chemical explanations in language beyond my current grasp (very impressive!).

It was unclear from the article who funded the experiments, but hinted at government help.

Since the person I’ve found most reliable on matters of diet (Dr. Eric Berg) has claimed that both these sugar alcohols were safe, I had some questions about that study. I did not (and do not) have time to get an MD or a PhD in biochemistry to challenge the “science“ of the article. I found a simpler approach. I asked a single question (actually, just a subject, not really a question) on Google, and that resolved the matter for me.

What did I ask? Before you read my answer, work out what YOU would ask in this situation.

Here’s what I entered into Google’s AI:

THE SUGAR INDUSTRY IN BRAZIL?

Instant answer (all data I didn’t have before–I thought most sugar on this planet came from the American south (e.g., Louisiana) and West Indies sugar cane plantations and the beet sugar from Hawaii. Not so):

The sugar industry is the LARGEST industry in Brazil, and sugar is the largest EXPORT from Brazil, and Brazil is the largest producer of sugar in the world (more than a quarter of the world’s sugar). It’s income from sugar has been rising year by year. Anything that challenges the growth of that industry is the enemy, and part of that enemy is erythritol and other products that have begun to replace sugar in many products. Some of the sugar substitutes (the chemical substitutes) have gotten enough valid bad press that they are avoided by many. Stevia and monk fruit are among the safer sugar substitutes, though not everyone can tolerate them. The sugar alcohols, and ESPECIALLY erythritol, are emerging as among the safest and best tolerated sugar substitutes, so, of course, any study (especially an expensive and long one) done in Brazil will easily find funding.

Why is it so crucial to ask who funds a study? Because OTHER studies have been done (many) that found that, even when a study is claimed to be unbiased, “double blind,” etc., nearly always (like 90% of the time) a study financed by some entity (such as a pharmaceutical company) gets the results that entity WANTS TO SEE. In other words, if the Cureitall company wants to prove a product will be effective, they pay someone to test it, and the testers almost always find that it’s effective.

And when independent testers try to replicate the original result . . . THEY CAN’T. For some reason, those without a special financial interest in showing that the drug is effective do NOT get the same results (nowhere near, in most cases) as the people paid by the drug company. (Books have been written about this!)

When a BIG company is promoting the product, and it’s allies in government are behind it, those later studies, often, don’t get published–or their publication is stalled for years. (Though I hear some recent reforms of that system are slowly taking effect.)

Follow the money trail. If the study doesn’t seem to make sense, find out who paid for it.

[By the way, the exact amount of erythritol this “study” found dangerous in regular use happened to be the exact amount of erythritol in a pint of my favorite sugar-free ice cream (Rebel).]

[One other (and last) “By the way”: The people who run these experiments that get the desired results probably vary in their degree of corruption. Some intentionally alter results, play complex tricks with statistics, etc. Others are simply influenced by the pressure to get a certain result, and see things the way they are “supposed” to see them, not necessarily realizing that they’re missing things (like bad effects of a drug), etc.]

Ancient Egyptian Pregnancy Test

Ancient Egyptian Pregnancy Test

Sometime between 1500 and 1300 BCE, an Egyptian physician wrote instructions on papyrus that would outlast every dynasty, every empire, and every civilization that rose and fell along the Nile.

The instructions were this:

Take two bags. Fill one with barley. Fill one with emmer wheat. Have the woman urinate on both daily. Watch what grows.

If both bags remain dormant — she is not pregnant. If the barley sprouts — a girl is coming. If the wheat — a boy.

It sounds, at first, like the ancient world being ancient: mystical, superstitious, built more on symbolism than science. In Egyptian culture, barley carried feminine associations and wheat masculine ones. The assignment of sex to sprouting grain probably had more to do with mythology than medicine.

But here is the part that modern researchers could not dismiss.

In a study published in 1963, researchers re-created the Egyptian experiment under controlled conditions. They collected urine from pregnant women, non-pregnant women, and men, and applied each to seeds in the same way the papyrus instructed. They found that wheat and barley watered with urine from pregnant women caused germination in about 70 percent of cases — while urine from non-pregnant women and men kept the grains from sprouting. Smithsonian Magazine

Seventy percent. In a bridal-shop window, that would be extraordinary. In ancient medicine, working from observation alone, with no concept of hormones or biochemistry, it borders on astonishing.

The most likely explanation is that elevated estrogen in a pregnant woman’s urine promotes plant growth — though the precise mechanism remains genuinely debated. One researcher found that even boiling the urine didn’t change the results, which complicates the simple estrogen theory. What the Egyptians almost certainly didn’t know was why it worked. Any idea of hormonal influences was completely non-existent to them CNN — the accuracy was almost certainly discovered through generations of careful, patient observation. Someone noticed. Someone tried again. Someone kept records.

The sex prediction, it should be said, did not hold up. The grain that sprouted first had no relationship to whether the child was male or female. That part was mythology, not medicine.

But the pregnancy detection itself endured for a staggering length of time. The barley and wheat test appears in a book of German folklore as late as 1699, and was reportedly still practiced in parts of Asia Minor in the 1960s. Smithsonian Magazine Three thousand years of use across dozens of cultures, carried through Greek medicine, through Arab scholars, through medieval European herbalists — because it worked often enough that no one stopped using it.

The knowledge was preserved in the Berlin Papyrus and the Carlsberg Papyrus — two of fewer than a dozen well-preserved ancient Egyptian medical texts that survive. Most of what Egyptian physicians knew has been lost to time, dissolved in Nile floods and desert sand. What remains shows a civilization that was doing something genuinely empirical: watching patterns, recording results, building practical tools from observation.

The modern pregnancy test detects hCG — human chorionic gonadotropin, a hormone that appears in urine after conception. It is read with antibodies and chemical reactions on a strip of treated paper. It takes two minutes. It is accurate to 99%.

And at its heart, it shares the same basic logic as two bags of grain set in the sun beside the Nile: that a pregnant woman’s urine is chemically different from anyone else’s — and that difference, whatever it is, can be read.

The Egyptian physician who first wrote those instructions almost certainly never knew why they worked. They only knew they did.

Three thousand years later, in a laboratory, scientists confirmed it.

And the mechanism — the precise biological reason — is still not entirely settled.

Which means the ancient world may still be teaching us something we haven’t fully learned.

Growing Containers

Growing  Containers

The same tomato plant in four different containers produces completely different yields. The container is not a secondary detail.
The fabric grow bag performs best for a specific reason: when roots reach the permeable wall, the air at the surface desiccates the root tip and the plant responds by producing dense lateral branching further back — a process called air pruning. In a solid plastic pot the root circles continuously until it becomes pot-bound, compressing its own vascular system. In a fabric bag the root system fans outward in branched layers, maximising the volume of compost it can access.
Fabric bags also run significantly cooler than dark plastic containers. A black plastic pot in full summer sun can reach soil temperatures that slow root activity and reduce fruit set. A fabric bag in the same position will typically stay 6 to 10°C cooler.
What happens in each container:
Dark plastic pot — traps heat. Root temperatures above 28°C in summer conditions are possible. Roots circle and become constrained. Inexpensive to buy, costly in yield.
Fabric grow bag — roots branch rather than circle. Better oxygen at the root zone, better water distribution, better production. The best choice for tomatoes on a balcony or terrace.
Terracotta pot — transpires moisture through the walls, which cools the root zone naturally and prevents waterlogging. Excellent for herbs and drought-tolerant crops. For tomatoes it increases watering frequency, and in hot dry summers it can stress the plant. Works well with consistent attention.
20-litre bucket — conducts temperature change rapidly. Roots experience cold nights and warm days as sharp fluctuations rather than buffered changes. Works for tomatoes if the bucket is partially buried or insulated.

Soil Temperature Peas vs Tomatoes

Soil Temperature Peas vs Tomatoes

Your peas are climbing two feet in a week. Your tomato transplant hasn’t moved since you planted it ten days ago. Same bed. Same soil. Same water.

The tomato isn’t sick. It’s cold.

Push a soil thermometer four inches deep. If it reads below sixty degrees, that number explains everything.

Pea roots activate in the low forties. At fifty-two degrees they’re running at full capacity — which is why the pea is sprinting while the tomato sits still. Tomato roots don’t come online until the soil hits sixty. Below that, they’re alive but functionally parked. Root tips aren’t extending. Nutrients aren’t moving. The plant can’t take up phosphorus or transport calcium properly in cold soil.

That purple tint on early-season tomato leaves isn’t a deficiency you need to fix with fertilizer. It’s cold soil locking phosphorus into forms the roots can’t absorb yet. The fix is warmth, not a bag.

The practical version:

– If soil is below sixty — leave tomatoes, peppers, and eggplant in their pots on the porch. They’re not gaining anything in cold ground

– A tomato planted two weeks later into sixty-degree soil will match and overtake one planted into fifty-two-degree soil within days

– The early plant doesn’t get a head start. It gets a cold start

– The peas, lettuce, spinach, and radish are fine right now — their roots were built for this temperature

The thermometer tells you what the plant already knows.