{"id":66573,"date":"2026-07-15T13:41:28","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T03:41:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/?p=66573"},"modified":"2026-07-15T13:41:28","modified_gmt":"2026-07-15T03:41:28","slug":"man-made-is-a-lie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/?p=66573","title":{"rendered":"Man-Made Is A Lie"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-66574\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Man-Made_Is_A_Lie.jpg\" alt=\"Man-Made Is A Lie\" width=\"288\" height=\"511\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Man-Made_Is_A_Lie.jpg 288w, https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Man-Made_Is_A_Lie-169x300.jpg 169w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 288px) 100vw, 288px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>New research claims human emissions are not driving atmospheric CO2.<\/p>\n<p>A paper by Dai Ato ran multiple linear regressions for 1959 to 2022, testing two predictors of the annual CO2 increase: sea surface temperature and human emissions. The result was clear: when the oceans warmed, CO2 levels rose almost exactly in step &#8211; about two to three parts per million for every one degree Celsius of warming. Adding human emissions to the model didn&#8217;t change the outcome.<\/p>\n<p>Using only ocean temperature, the model reproduced global CO2 levels with near-perfect accuracy &#8211; a correlation of 0.995 and an error of just one to two ppm by 2022.<\/p>\n<p>The main factor governing the annual increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration is sea surface temperature rather than human emissions.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier studies have shown the same pattern. Temperature changes first, CO2 follows.<\/p>\n<p>If Ato is correct, cutting human emissions won&#8217;t lower atmospheric CO2 because it&#8217;s the oceans that set the pace.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Electroversenet\/status\/2077120951221882970?s=20\">https:\/\/x.com\/Electroversenet\/status\/2077120951221882970?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New research claims human emissions are not driving atmospheric CO2. A paper by Dai Ato ran multiple linear regressions for 1959 to 2022, testing two predictors of the annual CO2 increase: sea surface temperature and human emissions. The result was clear: when the oceans warmed, CO2 levels rose almost exactly in step &#8211; about two &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/?p=66573\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Man-Made Is A Lie&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[132,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-66573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate-change","category-general-interest"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=66573"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66573\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":66575,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/66573\/revisions\/66575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=66573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=66573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=66573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}