{"id":27421,"date":"2020-04-22T19:38:12","date_gmt":"2020-04-22T09:38:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/?p=27421"},"modified":"2020-04-22T19:38:12","modified_gmt":"2020-04-22T09:38:12","slug":"covid-19-infection-pattern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/?p=27421","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 Infection Pattern"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"643\" height=\"378\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/COVID-19_Infection_Pattern.jpg\" alt=\"Lockdown makes no difference\" class=\"wp-image-27422\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/COVID-19_Infection_Pattern.jpg 643w, https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/COVID-19_Infection_Pattern-300x176.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 643px) 100vw, 643px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It turns out that a similar pattern \u2013 rapid increase in infections that reaches a peak in the sixth week and declines from the eighth week \u2013 is common to all countries in which the disease was discovered, regardless of their response policies: some imposed a severe and immediate lockdown that included not only \u201csocial distancing\u201d and banning crowding, but also<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/the-end-of-exponential-growth-the-decline-in-the-spread-of-coronavirus\/\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It turns out that a similar pattern \u2013 rapid increase in infections that reaches a peak in the sixth week and declines from the eighth week \u2013 is common to all countries in which the disease was discovered, regardless of their response policies: some imposed a severe and immediate lockdown that included not only \u201csocial &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/?p=27421\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;COVID-19 Infection Pattern&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general-interest","category-health-tips"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27421","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27421"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27421\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27423,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27421\/revisions\/27423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tomgrimshaw.com\/tomsblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}